OpenSea’s $13B valuation doesn’t make sense as NFT trading volumes plunge – Nob6
It might really feel prefer it’s been just a few years since OpenSea introduced the funding spherical that pushed its valuation to the $13 billion mark. It was January.
On the time, this column dug into the corporate’s monetary efficiency and got here to a variety of conclusions, primarily that the corporate was producing numerous income. That meant OpenSea appeared considerably cheap at its $13 billion price ticket when stacked up in opposition to the income multiples different unicorns had been getting in new, aggressive enterprise capital rounds.
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However we had been additionally cautious, noting that Coinbase’s income a number of was extra conservative than OpenSea’s, which gave us pause as a result of well-known crypto trade’s historical past of progress and profitability.
We summed it up as follows:
It seems that the brand new OpenSea valuation is reasonable in comparison with current fundamentals, however a bit of costly once we think about how a lot its market booms and busts. NFTs had a number of cycles of curiosity final 12 months alone. NFTs are a busy area, and the foundations of engagement have very a lot not been sorted out. Much more, Coinbase is stepping into the NFT sport and OpenSea is now possible too costly for the crypto buying and selling store to purchase. So, it’s going to be a gloves-on 12 months for the 2.
That wound up being appropriate a lot ahead of we anticipated. So let’s acquire current OpenSea market information, execute our typical spherical of valuation math, after which evaluate the place the NFT market’s valuation now sits in comparison with each its personal monetary efficiency and publicly traded comparables.
The final time we checked out OpenSea, we got here away a bit extra impressed than we anticipated to. Let’s see if that occurs once more.
The Q2 NFT market
In case you learn Nob6+ usually, you could have seen two appears on the NFT market on our pages in current weeks. In early June, we argued that the market was certainly slumping, and, primarily based on the info accessible on the time, we had been comfortably assured about it.